March 22, 2023
Today’s NBA Player Prop Picks: Ayton Flies vs Dubs

NBA Player Props Today – Our Best Bets for October 25th

Deandre Ayton has had an uncomfortable offseason with a solid showing for the Suns so far. Tonight he faces the Warriors, who have been having all sorts of problems stopping scoring indoors, which is why Ayton leads our NBA player prop picks.

It’s still very early in the NBA season and teams are obviously still working through the troubles of the summer, but this presents an opportunity for savvy NBA prop bettors.

Tonight we look at how best to take advantage of the Clippers and their multitude of players with minute restrictions ahead of their game against the battered Thunder. And the last two Western Conference champions go head-to-head in the desert as the Suns host the Warriors. The dubs light up the scoreboard, but they make their opponents do the same.

Here are my top NBA player prop picks for Tuesday October 25th.

Props for NBA players on October 25th

The selection was made on 10/25/2022 at 12:50 p.m. ET.
Click on each selection to jump to the full analysis.

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The best props for today’s NBA players

The following odds widgets represent the best odds currently available for every betting market in regulated sports betting.

For some sugar on me

Kristaps Porzingis’ experiment seems to be working so far for the Washington Wizards. The team is 2-1 and Porzingis seems to get along well with his new teammates. He and the Wiz will be looking to move on when they host the Detroit Pistons Tuesday night.

Porzingis isn’t trying to do too much, letting the game come to him and looking better than he’s been in a while. He’s averaging 15.7 points, 8 rebounds, and 2.7 assists while shooting almost 40% from 3-point range, and I expect the 7-foot-3 unicorn to be a problem for the Pistons will be on the boards.

That’s largely because Detroit has worked on glass in three games. The Pistons rank 19th in rebound percentage and only the Los Angeles Lakers give up more opposing rebounds per game.

Porzingis’ rebound total is set at 8.5 for this game, and that’s a number he’s easily eliminated in two of his three games this season. He grabbed 10 rebounds in the season opener against the Indiana Pacers and snagged 11 boards in his last outing against the Cleveland Cavaliers (a very good rebounding team). The only time he didn’t was an odd three-rebound performance against the Chicago Bulls, where he played a season-low 28 minutes.

I have a feeling the Chicago game was a runaway for Porzingis and expect him to keep cleaning the glass against the Pistons and catching about 10 planks.

Choose: Kristaps Porzingis Over 8.5 rebounds (-125)

double trouble

The Los Angeles Clippers could be the best team in the NBA — if they ever get their entire team on the court at once.

Kawhi Leonard and John Wall both have minute limitations and now Paul George is down with an illness. This creates some NBA ratings value in some of the Clippers’ lesser announced players. That includes center Ivica Zubac, who should get plenty of run tonight when he visits the Oklahoma City Thunder.

Zubac has been his normal, stable self for the clips this season, averaging 8.7 points, 11 rebounds and 2 blocks per game over three games. It’s nothing to blow you out of the water, but it’s stable. And he’s in a great position for us to help him do some work against the thunder.

Zubac accumulated double-digit points in his first two games before scoring just two against the Suns. But the Thunders don’t have the bodies to fight Zubac in the deep like the Suns do.

Oklahoma City is an undersized team, with 6-foot-8 Jeremiah Robinson-Earl starting center, and that cost them on the boards. The Thunder ranks 23rd in rebound percentage and 28th in opponent rebounds per game.

OKC also has its own “injury issues” (cough, cough) with Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Josh Giddey both being out. That’s not good for a team that literally needs all the bodies they can get.

On the upside in a game where he’s expected to get a few more minutes, this looks like a great place to back Zubac in for a double-double.

Choose: Ivica Zubac scores a double-double (+115)

sunny side up

The two previous Western Conference champions face off in the desert Tuesday night when the Golden State Warriors visit the Phoenix Suns.

The defending NBA champions, Warriors, started this season 2-1 and seemingly scored at will. The Dubs are a paltry 125.3 points per game, but do all those goals diminish their efforts down the pitch?

For now, that answer is yes. Golden State ranks 17th in defensive standings and is giving up 120.7 points per game in their first three games. Above all, the Warriors had trouble defending the inside rank 26 in opponent points in the paint.

Enter Sun’s center Deandre Ayton with an overall score of 17.5.

While things felt a bit uncomfortable between the Suns and Ayton during the offseason, he seems to have gotten over that early on. The Suns center has been averaging 19 points, 8 rebounds and 2 assists per game so far and is now getting a juicy matchup against that suspect Warriors defense.

Here’s how the main big men have fared in the Warrior’s three games this season: Domantas Sabonis amassed 19 points in just 22 minutes, Nikola Jokic went to 26 and Anthony Davis lost 27 in the opener.

Additionally, Ayton has scored over 17.5 points in two of his three games, and he surpassed that number three times in four games against the Warriors last season, averaging 20.3 points per game in those competitions. Back to another strong performance from Ayton

Choose: Deandre Ayton Over 17.5 points (+105)

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